What it does
Manifold is useful for following forecasts and testing judgments without buying cash-settled event contracts. Users create questions, trade with the site’s mana currency and debate the evidence in market comments. The creator’s resolution criteria are therefore an essential part of reading the displayed probability.
Mana itself cannot be redeemed for money. Earlier sweepcash markets were closed in 2025; newer prize drawings are a separate feature, not a restoration of direct mana redemption. Keep the forecasting record and any prize eligibility separate when comparing Manifold with real-money exchanges.
Where it stands out
- User-created questions
- Public reasoning and discussion
- Play-money forecasting record
What you can do
- 01Mana markets
- 02Market creation
- 03Comments and leaderboards
- 04Separate prize drawings
Who’s behind it
Manifold Markets publishes the platform and its official newsletter. Its own 2025 closure notice documents the return from sweepcash markets to a mana-focused product.
Fees & availability
Fees and costs
Mana can be purchased, but cannot be cashed out. Prize drawings follow their own entry rules.
Eligibility and availability
Do not treat mana profit as investment performance or a cash claim. User-written questions can contain ambiguous settlement criteria.